Hurricanes are tricky things. In 2004, Category 4 Hurricane Charlie
was headed straight for our house in Clearwater when it took an easterly turn
overnight. It decimated a surprised Punta Gorda with its strong northeast
quadrant, and the weaker western side barely gave us rain.
A similar thing happened today in Marathon. The storm went east of the
forecasted track and we got the western side, which was pretty much
non-existent. It was overcast and drizzled once in the morning, then the
rest of the day was sunny and calm.
I won’t attempt to hide that it was a bit of a letdown. It’s not that I’m an adrenaline junkie or
something. I make these plans and have
these ideas about what conditions will be like and how we’ll cope with them,
but at this point they remain untested. A
boxer has to work his way up the ranks gaining experience before he has a
chance against the champ. I only hope
that next time I’m not pitted against a much stronger storm.
I partially console myself with the knowledge that I could tell what was happening
as soon as I got up this morning and saw the breeze had backed to the North. I’ve watched these things closely for many
years now, have read some books, taken some classes, and feel like I’m getting
to understand them to some degree.
If I were reliant on official sources of information, I would have been
totally clueless about what was currently happening or about to happen. The VHF chatter from other boats showed a serious lack of awareness about what the weather was doing. Local weather radar was the only information
I had access to (which was only possible because I had Internet access) which was compatible with what I was seeing with my eyes. In fact, several of the National Hurricane
Center’s position reports appeared to contradict what I saw clearly on
radar. I find it frustrating that even within hours of a storm hitting me, I can’t get good information about what kind of weather I’ll
have. Part of it is a prediction problem, but part is also an information delivery problem.
We received several calls and emails today from friends and family inquiring
about how we’re faring in the storm. All
were surprised to learn that it was just another day in paradise.